<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0"
	xmlns:content="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/content/"
	xmlns:wfw="http://wellformedweb.org/CommentAPI/"
	xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
	xmlns:atom="http://www.w3.org/2005/Atom"
	xmlns:sy="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/syndication/"
	xmlns:slash="http://purl.org/rss/1.0/modules/slash/"
	>

<channel>
	<title>Allan Young's Incoherence &#187; CNBC</title>
	<atom:link href="http://allantyoung.com/tag/cnbc/feed/" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://allantyoung.com</link>
	<description>A Latticework of Thought, Action &#38; Joyful Foibles</description>
	<lastBuildDate>Fri, 29 Oct 2010 21:20:56 +0000</lastBuildDate>
	<language>en</language>
	<sy:updatePeriod>hourly</sy:updatePeriod>
	<sy:updateFrequency>1</sy:updateFrequency>
	<generator>http://wordpress.org/?v=3.2.1</generator>
		<item>
		<title>Investing Linkfest 4/17/08</title>
		<link>http://allantyoung.com/2008/04/17/investing-linkfest-41708/</link>
		<comments>http://allantyoung.com/2008/04/17/investing-linkfest-41708/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 18 Apr 2008 04:46:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Allan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Linkfest]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Amphenol]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[APH]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[balance sheet]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[basic metals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Bernanke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bespoke Investment Group]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Big Blue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[blue chips]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CCK]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CNBC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[credit crisis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Crown Holdings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[da Vinci robotic surgical system]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[demand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[earnings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[extrapolation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[food]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[foreclosures]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[full disclosure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General Electric]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GOOG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Google]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[growth stocks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IBM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[inflation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[International Business Machines]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Intuitive Surgical]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ISRG]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market share]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[mergers and acquisitions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[net income]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[oil]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[optimism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[population growth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[profit]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[revenue]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sales]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[stagnation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Technology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Thomas Watson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[WBD]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wimm Bill Dann]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[YouTubem]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allantyoung.com/2008/04/17/investing-linkfest-41708/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[
Optimism abounds with the market resolutely shaking off bad news while focusing myopically on the good, or relatively good, news. The cheerleaders on CNBC (GE) can scarcely be heard uttering the dreadful words of inflation, recession, stagnation, credit crisis, and foreclosures. Happily, they talk about earnings beats. Surprisingly, there are a number of really substantial earnings beats that seem to justify the current sanguine tone of the market.
A lot of the beats thus far have come from blue chip companies that dominate their industries and sectors. Logically, this makes sense. ...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><img class="alignnone" src="http://allantyoung.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/04/investinglinkfest20080417.jpg" alt="" width="550" height="61" /></p>
<p>Optimism abounds with the market resolutely shaking off bad news while focusing myopically on the good, or relatively good, news. The cheerleaders on CNBC (<a title="General Electric" href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=ge" target="_blank">GE</a>) can scarcely be heard uttering the dreadful words of <em>inflation, recession, stagnation, credit crisis, and foreclosures</em>. Happily, they talk about earnings beats. Surprisingly, there are a number of really substantial earnings beats that seem to justify the current sanguine tone of the market.</p>
<p>A lot of the beats thus far have come from blue chip companies that dominate their industries and sectors. Logically, this makes sense. If we are in a recessionary environment, only our very best companies will be able to capture market share. Secondary companies or second tier competitors will lose market share in tough environments. I suspect that the cash coffers of the Fortune 500 will soon start to be deployed, resulting in a nice pickup in mergers and acquisitions activity and the buying of market share. Beware the rash of earnings reports coming from the middling middle of our corporate roll call.</p>
<p>Now, on with the ceremony:</p>
<p><a title="Intuitive Surgical, Inc. Q1 2008 Earnings Call Transcript" href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/72826-intuitive-surgical-inc-q1-2008-earnings-call-transcript?source=yahoo" target="_blank">Intuitive Surgical, Inc. Q1 2008 Earnings Call Transcript</a> &#8211; The maker of the revolutionary da Vinci robotic surgical system, this has been a growth stock for the future and the recent past, but apparently not for the present. After hours, Intuitive Surgical (<a title="Intuitive Surgical" href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=isrg" target="_blank">ISRG</a>) reported EPS growth of 81% and sales growth of 65%. These numbers actually beat estimates, something this company has become habitually good at doing. However, the beat was not as large as previous beats and the stock dove 8.6% in after hours trading. Come again? Kudos to the boys at Bespoke Investment Group for calling the potential for a &#8220;<a title="Intuitive Surgical: The Wonder Stock by the Bespoke Investment Group" href="http://seekingalpha.com/article/72574-intuitive-surgical-the-wonder-stock" target="_blank">bad beat</a>.&#8221; <strong>Full Disclosure: </strong><em>I currently have a long or short position in ISRG in one or more of my private investment partnerships.</em></p>
<p><a title="IBM shares rise to highest price in 6 years after earnings" href="http://www.forbes.com/feeds/ap/2008/04/17/ap4904986.html" target="_blank">IBM shares rise to highest price in 6 years after earnings</a> &#8211; Big Blue (<a title="International Business Machines" href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=ibm" target="_blank">IBM</a>) is one of the primary drivers of this recent rally. While everyone was gloomily expecting credit crisis-sickened earnings, the House That Watson Built comes out with an outstanding report. Net income rose a whopping 26% while revenue grew 11% during the first quarter. I have to quibble here with the unalloyed euphoric reaction. The ability to cut or manage costs is exactly what is needed in a recessionary environment and while revenue grew healthily, this is not a case of sales growth keeping in line with profit growth. Everyone else is taking this bellwether stock as indicating unexpected strength in the technology sector. Extrapolation is a dangerous game to play. IBM&#8217;s domestic business represents only 35% of total revenues. Unless your small-cap technology stock has a global presence, you may be disappointed yet.</p>
<p><a title="Russia's White Gold" href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/24013641/?__source=yahoo%7Cheadline%7Cquote%7Ctext%7C&amp;par=yahoo" target="_blank">Russia&#8217;s White Gold</a> &#8211; Cramer is an entertaining fellow. He&#8217;s onto the story of how American food conglomerates are beginning to crave Russian food makers. Gobble, gobble, gobble, buying on acquisition speculation is for turkeys. Wimm Bill Dann (<a title="Wimm Bill Dann" href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=wbd" target="_blank">WBD</a>) is one such Russian food maker and has benefited from the worldwide inflation of food prices. I&#8217;ve mentioned before that <a title="Latticework Linkfest - 2/20/08" href="http://allantyoung.com/2008/02/20/latticework-linkfest-22008/" target="_blank">food inflation will make us all a little hungrier and Ben Bernanke&#8217;s job a little harder</a>.</p>
<p><a title="Crown Holdings sets high following jump in 1Q profit" href="http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080417/crown_holdings_mover.html?.v=2" target="_blank">Crown Holdings sets high following jump in 1Q profit</a> &#8211; Population growth in emerging countries is one of the main drivers of the growing demand for food. Someone&#8217;s got to package all that food to meet exploding demand from a burgeoning global marketplace. Crown Holdings (<a title="Crown Holdings   " href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=cck" target="_blank">CCK</a>) has been a big beneficiary of the demand for food and thus the derivative demand for packaging for food. Beware the toxic balance sheet. Beware even more the equally strong inflation in raw materials. Basic metals for beverage cans have seen strong price advances. Oil&#8217;s record-setting price march will surely increase the cost of plastic packaging.</p>
<p><a title="Amphenol raises 2008 profit, sales outlook above estimates" href="http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080417/amphenol_outlook.html?.v=1" target="_blank">Amphenol raises 2008 profit, sales outlook above estimates</a> &#8211; My skepticism of IBM and the rest of the technology sector is made to look silly as smaller player in technology also beats comfortably. Amphenol (<a title="Amphenol" href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=aph" target="_blank">APH</a>), a maker of fiber optic cables and connectors reported that sales rose 18% while income saw a 25% jump. Demand for bandwidth remains strong as countless millions waste precious minutes watching stupid videos on YouTube for free. Someone has to produce the digital pipes that make our devolved entertainment needs possible. Oh, did I mention that Google (<a title="Google" href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=goog" target="_blank">GOOG</a>) also pleased Wall Street with a <a title="Google sagging stock soars after strong 1Q showing" href="http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/080418/earns_google.html?.v=4" target="_blank">rosy earnings report</a>? I&#8217;m looking stupider and stupider by the minute.</p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://allantyoung.com/2008/04/17/investing-linkfest-41708/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Wisdom of Cantankerous Sam Zell</title>
		<link>http://allantyoung.com/2008/02/27/wisdom-of-cantankerous-sam-zell/</link>
		<comments>http://allantyoung.com/2008/02/27/wisdom-of-cantankerous-sam-zell/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Feb 2008 00:42:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Allan</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Business]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Investing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sports]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[baseball]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ben Bernanke]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[billionaire]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Blackstone Group]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CEO]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chicago]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chicago Cubs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chicago Tribune]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[CNBC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[constipation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[debt markets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Democrats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[dislocations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Equity Office Properties Trust]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[euphoria]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Federal Reserve]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GE]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[General Electric]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Godfather offer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[housing market]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[interest rates]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jack Welch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[liberalism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[logic]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Los Angeles]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Los Angeles Times]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[market timing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[professional opportunists]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[real estate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[recession]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sam Zell]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tribune Company]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://allantyoung.com/2008/02/27/wisdom-of-cantankerous-sam-zell/</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I love this guy Sam Zell &#8211; he&#8217;s just so funny and sharp.  Zell is the real estate investment billionaire who sold his Equity Office Properties Trust to the Blackstone Group for $39 billion in the early part of 2007.  He recently bought the Tribune Company, owner of the Chicago Tribune and the Los Angeles Times.  The company also owns the Chicago Cubs major league baseball franchise.  Zell is known for using colorful language during press conferences and speaking very clearly and succinctly in a straightforward ...]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I love this guy Sam Zell &#8211; he&#8217;s just so funny and sharp.  Zell is the real estate investment billionaire who sold his Equity Office Properties Trust to the Blackstone Group for $39 billion in the early part of 2007.  He recently bought the Tribune Company, owner of the <em>Chicago Tribune </em>and the <em>Los Angeles Times</em>.  The company also owns the Chicago Cubs major league baseball franchise.  Zell is known for using colorful language during press conferences and speaking very clearly and succinctly in a straightforward manner.  One Los Angeles media organization had this to say:</p>
<blockquote><p>Last week you may have encountered some colorful uses of the lexicon from Sam Zell that we are not used to hearing at the Times&#8230;But of course we still have the same expectations at the Times of what is correct in the workplace. It&#8217;s not good judgment to use profane or hostile language and we can&#8217;t tolerate that&#8230;In short, nothing changes; the fundamental rules of decorum and decency apply&#8230;Sam is a force of a nature; the rest of us are bound by the normal conventions of society.</p></blockquote>
<p>He recently appeared on CNBC to talk about the economy, the housing market in particular, and his plans for his recent investments in newspapers and the Chicago Cubs.  Watching the guy speak, you can&#8217;t help but be impressed by his dry humor, his uniquely cantankerous tone, and the unmistakable impression that he has had a fire in his belly for a long time.  Here are some interesting tidbits (paraphrased):</p>
<ul>
<li> <strong>On selling the Chicago Cubs</strong>:  &#8220;We own the Cubs and we intend to sell on our time frame and manner in which we choose, many others have opinions on how we should do this, but I don&#8217;t care.  Excuse me for being sarcastic, but the idea that others are debating about what I should do with my assets leaves me questioning the integrity of that debate.  There are a lot of people who want to buy the Cubs, and they would like to buy under their terms and conditions.  Unfortunately, they have to deal with me.&#8221;</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><strong>On politics</strong>: &#8220;We have two Democratic candidates who are vying with each other to describe the economic situation worse.  The reality is that if you live on Wall Street and you&#8217;re in the credit markets the world couldn&#8217;t be worse. If you&#8217;re a farmer and you&#8217;re getting $25 for your wheat, you&#8217;re having a great time. If you&#8217;re a CEO and you&#8217;ve got a balance sheet that&#8217;s bullet-proof, you&#8217;re in a great position. This whole thing is way out of control, way out of hand.&#8221;
<ul>
<li>I tend not to get involved in political campaigns.</li>
<li>&#8220;Logic can overcome Liberalism.&#8221;</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><strong>On investing</strong>: This is where I get the most value out of listening to this guy.
<ul>
<li>&#8220;We have been professional opportunists, when there is dislocation, that usually creates opportunity.&#8221;</li>
<li>&#8220;I never call or time markets &#8211; I only try to respond to what I think is logic.&#8221;</li>
<li>&#8220;My decision to sell Equity Office was not based on crowds, was not based on euphoria.  Someone made me an offer I couldn&#8217;t understand and I thought it was a Godfather offer.&#8221;  Another classic line.</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<ul>
<li><strong>Two old dogs</strong>:  Jack Welch, former CEO of General Electric (<a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/q?s=ge" title="General Electric" target="_blank">GE</a>) was on the show and got to ask Zell a couple questions. It was a little heartwarming to see two great businessmen sharing a little camaraderie. You just know these guys are tough bosses to work for, but they keep it honest and straight.
<ul>
<li>Jack Welch: Sam, you&#8217;re the master of timing.</li>
<li>Jack Welch: These guys (CNBC crew) accuse me of being a cheerleader, but they wouldn&#8217;t dare say that to you.</li>
<li>Jack Welch: Sam, can we play what you&#8217;re saying every half hour (because it&#8217;s so positive)?</li>
<li>Sam Zell: You guys are opining every half hour so what do you need me for?</li>
<li>Jack Welch: Sam, thank you so much.</li>
<li>Sam Zell: Good to see you again Jack.</li>
</ul>
</li>
</ul>
<p>Watch the video here:</p>
<p style="text-align: center"><a href="http://www.cnbc.com/id/23350846/site/14081545" title="Sam Zell CNBC Video" target="_blank"><img src="http://allantyoung.com/wp-content/uploads/2008/02/samzellvideoimage.jpg" alt="Sam Zell CNBC Video" height="240" width="327" /></a></p>
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://allantyoung.com/2008/02/27/wisdom-of-cantankerous-sam-zell/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>1</slash:comments>
		</item>
	</channel>
</rss>

